Fear tracks pretty closely with how directly your output competes with a model. My rates for blog and SEO work dropped maybe 40% over two years, while the niche editorial clients who care about a byline still pay the same. Hard to feel hopeful when half your pipeline evaporated and the survivors are asking you to "just clean up the draft the marketing lead generated.
Fear tracks with exposure in my experience. The teachers on my team who have actually used these tools for lesson planning and feedback are cautiously optimistic, the ones who have only read headlines are convinced their jobs end next year. The study would be more useful if it broke responses down by hands on hours.
Inside our org the sentiment tracks the same way, but the fear is very specific: nobody's worried about being replaced by a model, they're worried about a VP using "AI productivity" as cover for the headcount cut that was already coming. Two reorgs in eighteen months will do that.
Not surprising given how the rollout has gone for most of my reports. Half my team spent Q1 cleaning up PRs that looked fine in review but quietly broke staging, and now every standup has someone asking if their job is the next thing to get "leveraged." Hope is hard to manufacture when the lived experience is more cleanup and more anxiety.
Not surprising when most coverage frames it as headcount reduction. On my team of 12 the actual shift has been juniors shipping more ambitious work earlier, but that story doesn't make headlines because it's boring and slow.
Fear tracks what people actually see at work. I've replaced two contractor roles this year with scripts I wrote over a weekend, and I'm one founder out of thousands doing the same quietly. The hope side needs a concrete story about where displaced work goes, and nobody in my orbit has one.
Fear tracks with how the rollout is handled. We automated about 55% of ticket volume over a year, and the people who shaped the playbooks and reviewed the model's drafts kept their jobs at higher pay; the ones who were just told "use this now" left within six months. Same tech, completely different experience of it.
Fear tracks pretty closely with whether your manager has used the word "efficiency" in a 1:1 recently. Our PM team shrank from 7 to 4 last quarter and nobody on the design side is sleeping great about Q3 either.